消防部队联合作战组织与指挥

根据消防部队联合作战的特点,分析目前联合作战中存在的问题,提出联合作战的组织指挥原则,并从六个方面阐述了联合作战的组织指挥方法。     

Service design at diagnostic service centers

We study a service design problem in diagnostic service centers, call centers that provide medical advice to patients over the phone about what the appropriate course of action is, based on the caller's symptoms. Due to the tension between increased diagnostic accuracy and the increase in waiting times more in‐depth service requires, managers face a difficult decision in determining the optimal service depth to guide the diagnostic process. The specific problem we consider models the situation when the capacity (staffing level) at the center is fixed, and when the callers have both congestion‐ and noncongestion‐related costs relating to their call. We develop a queueing model incorporating these features and find that the optimal service depth can take one of two different structures, depending on factors such as the nurses' skill level and the maximum potential demand. Sensitivity analyses of the two optimal structures show that they are quite different. In some situations, it may (or may not) be optimal for the manager to try to expand the demand at the center, and increasing skill level may (or may not) increase congestion. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry

Customer acquisition and customer retention are the most important challenges in the increasingly competitive telecommunications industry. Traditional studies of customer switching always assume that customers are homogeneous, and thus that model customer switching behavior follows a Markov formulation. However, this postulation is obviously inappropriate in most instances. Blumen et al. (Cornell Studies of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 1955) developed the Mover–Stayer (MS) model, a generalization of the Markov chain model, to relax the requirement of homogeneity and allow the presence of heterogeneity with two different types of individuals—“stayers,” who purchase the same kinds of products or services throughout the entire observation period; and “movers,” who look for variety in products or services over time. There are two purpose of this article. First, we extend the MS model to a Double Mover‐Stayer (DMS) model by assuming the existence of three types of individuals in the market: (1) stable and loyal customers, who have stable usage within the same company; (2) instable but loyal customers, whose usage varies within the same company over time; and (3) disloyal customers, who switch from one company to another to seek for new experiences or/and benefits. We also propose an estimation method for the DMS model. Second, we apply the DMS model to telecommunications data and demonstrate how it can be used for pattern identification, hidden knowledge discovery, and decision making. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

Modeling multiple stage manufacturing systems with generalized costs and capacity issues

This study introduces one modeling methodology that describes a broad range of multiple stage production planning issues, including multiple limited resources with setup times and joint fixed cost relationships. An existing production system is modeled in this fashion, creating a new set of 1350 highly generalized benchmark problems. A computational study is conducted with the 1350 benchmark problems introduced in this paper and 2100 benchmark problems, with more restrictive assumptions, from the existing literature. The relative merits of a decomposition‐based algorithm and a neighborhood search technique known as NIPPA, or the Non‐sequential Incremental Part Period Algorithm, are assessed. NIPPA is generally the more successful of the two techniques, although there are specific instances in which the decomposition‐based algorithm displayed a distinct advantage. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

开展军事理论课程教学的思考

军事理论课程教学,在武警部队“合训”院校课程设置中所处的位置越来越重要。如何在由培养工程技术类干部向指挥类干部“学历教育合训”为主的转变过程中,提高军事理论课程讲授的效益和质量,关键在于军事理论课程教学方法的选择与应用。     

陆空火力协同仿真推演验证系统设计

针对陆空联合作战中火力协同方案制订、验证手段方法的不足,采用计算机仿真的方法,从安全防误伤的角度对陆空火力协同方案进行了仿真推演评估。分析了功能需求和体系结构,建立了武器装备运动轨迹模型和陆空火力协同安全性判别模型,研究了仿真时钟推进机制和提高仿真速度的方法,设计了陆空火力协同仿真推演验证系统。作战演习应用表明：该系统仿真推演验证快速、准确、便捷、有效。     

装备保障能力评价参数体系设计与应用

为了及时发现装备作战单元在装备保障建设中存在的问题并确定原因,研究了装备保障能力评价参数体系的构建。在剖析装备保障能力概念的基础上,将能力评价参数分为综合层、系统层、子系统层及资源层。从参数内容、评价对象层次以及时域3个维度设计了评价参数体系框架,并据此对4个层次参数的选取及其关系分别进行了探讨。最后通过某防空旅装备保障能力评价实例,验证了参数体系设计方法的可操作性和有效性。     

22SiMn2TiB装甲钢异种焊接接头超声波探伤探头设计

用常规探头对22SiMn2TiB装甲钢与TWE312异种钢焊接接头进行缺陷检测,杂波和伪缺陷波导致灵敏度、信噪比不高。用扫描电镜观察到这种异种钢焊接接头主要为奥氏体+铁素体组织,其中奥氏体是主体组织。根据焊缝的组织特点,设计出了2.5P13×13K1.5型专用探头。在预制缺陷的焊接接头上进行了验证试验,结果表明2.5P13×13K1.5探头对接头内部的缺陷具有较高的检出率。     

三军联合火力打击效果的评估

针对未来一体化联合作战火力打击的主要特点,探索三军联合火力打击效果评估方法。建立了三军联合火力打击效果的评估指标体系,该指标体系结合一体化联合作战的火力打击的基本要素,分别从验前评估和验后评估两个方面进行了分析,得到了各个具体指标的评估结果,最后综合其各具体指标的结果,得出三军联合火力打击综合评估结果。该方法不仅建立较为全面的火力打击评估指标体系,而且对各指标和最终综合评估做出了具体分析,较好地满足对一体化联合火力打击有效评估的需求。     

基于静力与稳定性分析的小卫星主接头选型优化

基于对预埋主接头蜂窝板的静力与稳定性分析,对小卫星主接头进行选型优化。采用三明治夹心板理论建立预埋分叉式和面板式小卫星主结构连接接头的蜂窝板试件有限元模型,分析得到了蜂窝板最大应力值与失稳载荷,通过与试验结果的对比分析确定了蜂窝板试件破坏原因。在此基础上讨论结构参数对蜂窝板承载性能的影响,确定出最优的接头设计形式。